You’ve never seen an application like EDGE because there’s nothing else like it.
If you’re used to charts and headlines, prepare for a radical shift. Try it. We’re democratizing market structure for traders and investors. This is how the market actually works.
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NYSE and Nasdaq US individual stocks
Unlimited static and dynamic portfolios
Automatic sector portfolios showing where the money is going
Unique market-structure search criteria spanning supply and demand to liquidity
Robust back-testing with Profiler
Responsive live support
Daily Market Desk notes
Regular live demos
Frequently Asked Questions
What’s Market Structure Sentiment™?›
It’s the EDGE metric for Demand, and the core predictive EDGE metric for entries and exits in any stock or sector, and the whole market. Sentiment is an algorithm, a ten-point mathematical scale measuring how stocks move from Oversold to Overbought. As a general rule, stocks spending more time over 5.0 Demand levels outperform, and vice versa. And rising Demand coupled with stable or falling Supply lifts prices.
How do I find entries and exits for my stocks?›
Entries are rising Demand or falling Supply. Exits are falling Demand or rising Supply. That’s the central tendency – the highest probability. It’s best to buy when stocks have a higher probability of rising, and sell before they have a higher probability of falling. Headlines and financial results cannot reliably be counted on as signals because most of the money in the stock market isn’t tracking those. It’s mathematical. See in Tutorials Five Easy Steps videos #3 and #4.
How do I screen for good stocks to trade with EDGE?›
Create a Dynamic Portfolio using our unique market structure metrics. See video Tutorials, and especially Five Easy Steps #2 on creating portfolios. The best stocks in a strongly rising market are the ones with excess Demand. Say you query for Stocks with Demand between 5-10, with a downtrend in Supply, and 1.5 standard deviations between the two. And in volatile markets, screen for big and stable stocks spending lots of time at 5.0. See the Easy Step #2 video under Resources for more.
How do you define Overbought and Oversold?›
Stocks are Overbought when Demand, Market Structure Sentiment™, is 10.0. On our 10-point scale, levels above 5.0 signal more demand than supply, and vice versa. All stocks and the whole market is somewhere on that scale at all times. Stocks with more demand than supply do better, and vice versa. When stocks hit 10/10, they’re Overbought, 1/10 Oversold. The whole market trades between 4.0 and 6.0 most times, meaning it’s Overbought above 6.0 and Oversold below 4.0. Use that data to increase the probability of both capturing and keeping gains. Don’t overstay an Overbought stock or market.
Are Short Volume and Short Interest the same thing?›
No. Short Interest, the widely followed gauge of stocks borrowed, sold and not yet covered, dates to 1974 when the Federal Reserve established it to track money in margin accounts. The USA had abandoned the gold standard in 1971, and financial-market volatility exploded. More money began using hedges like options and futures, and borrowing. But there were no electronic markets, no index funds, no exchange-traded funds, no high-speeding trading, no instant-messaging, on it goes. It’s not a contemporary or predictive metric. Short VOLUME, our Supply measure, by contrast is a 2009 measure regulated by Finra, the equity markets watchdog for brokers, metering the amount of trading volume coming from borrowed or created stock. It’s an excellent supply/demand metric, and it’s one of two key predictive measures we use.
Why isn’t your data realtime?›
Realtime data is not predictive. And EDGE is about trading Sentiment, not Price. Prices are set by machines vastly faster than us retail traders, and will fool us. But they don’t predict further out than fractions of seconds. We thus gain an advantage over them by shifting from the prices they create, to the DEMAND (or SUPPLY) they create. Correlations at the tick-level – at the point where prices are set – reach zero. Of what use is that? We take a LONG step back so we can observe patterns of change over time, reflecting Supply/Demand fluctuations, which become reliable signals of near-term directional change. Our data is T+1 in most cases, meaning it’s yesterday’s data. We’re aiming for signals giving us several days’ advance notice about changing stock prices, market-direction.
I bought a stock that ticked up from Sentiment 1.0 but I’m losing money. Why?›
First, three rules: Context, Broad Sentiment, Sector. Context: are options expiring, is it earnings season, month-end? Those change outcomes. Broad Sentiment: Is it rising, falling, peaked, bottomed? And is money buying the sector the stock belongs to? And Demand rising off 1.0 isn’t excess Demand yet, only improving Demand. If it stops at 3.0 (that’s a top) and falls, you won’t win. Backtest that data! And be very careful buying stocks rising off 1.0 unless ALL other factors are in your favor: Money is back in the market, and buying your sector, and no context issues challenge probabilities.
How do I know when to sell?›
Backtest your data with Profiler. See video #4 of the Five Easy Steps for success with EDGE. In sum, sell when the data show Demand is falling, or Supply is rising. Or take your gains! Say a stock has been at 10.0. Then it goes to 9, 8, 7, 6, 5…. If it falls below 5.0, supply exceeds demand. It’s likely to stop rising or fall. And sometimes it happens a lot faster – as soon as Supply ticks up, or Demand ticks down. Say a stock is at 10.0 for days, then Short Volume rises above the stock’s trend, and even over 50%. Supply is rising faster to Demand. Take gains. Not chances.
Is EDGE better with some stocks than others?›
Yes. Stocks with prices below about $8 have higher standard deviation in metrics, which reduces reliability. And stocks with low LIQUIDITY are much harder to trade. That’s $/Trade a metric in the portfolio view. And stocks with lots of VOLATILITY, another metric. The BEST probabilities are in liquid stocks with lower volatility and predictable prices.
Why no ETFs on the EDGE platform?›
Because ETFs track stocks but don’t behave like them. ETFs are the greatest modern financial-markets phenomenon. Never has so much money chased one instrument so ravenously. But ETFs are also derivatives dependent on an arbitrage mechanism – different prices for the same thing – for prices. And because ETF shares are constantly created and redeemed (Investment Company Institute Data show around $500 billion of creations and redemptions every single month), the supply/demand features EDGE applies are less reliable. Maybe that’ll change in the future. One thing you CAN do: Use our sector portfolios to know when to buy or sell sector ETFs. In fact, you can build a proxy of stocks for any ETF to know when to buy or sell it. For instance, Gold. Create a portfolio of gold stocks and use Supply and Demand to know when to buy or sell GLD.
Why don’t you include penny stocks?›
The quantitative software and mathematical models underpinning EDGE are predicated on the rules of Regulation National Market Systems (Reg NMS) governing quotes, trades, data and access to all three. That rule doesn’t apply to what’s colloquially called “the pink sheets,” the Over-the-Counter market where penny stocks are traded.
What happens if Reg NMS changes?›
We update our models, math and analytics to reflect changes. In fact, in Jan 2020, the SEC proposed a revamp of Reg NMS that traders call Reg NMS II. It’s even larger (595 pps as proposed, versus 524 pages for Reg NMS Final Rule) and effects some big changes, especially to how data plans are governed and what constitutes a “round lot.” The new SEC regime has thus far not chosen to implement it. If it becomes part of the regulations, we’ll adjust models.
How often do I need to review my EDGE portfolios for entries and exits?›
Once a day, maybe not even that often. Generally, though, check your positions relative to your math each day. If you’re buying stocks ticking up from 4.0, buy the first uptick over that level. If you’re selling stocks reverting below 5.0, follow it. CAUTION: Don’t be afraid to take gains! EDGE is designed to help you generate a few percentage points of returns every week or two while avoiding losses. It’s not intended to have you off chasing rainbows. Disciplined use of data can produce those sorts of returns in any market. So if you’ve seen an 8% gain and your position has topped Demand, rising Supply, take your gains. But you don’t have to sit and watch trading screens all day.
Isn’t Market Structure EDGE trying to time the market?›
No, it’s rebalancing portfolios away from holdings that are Overbought and toward holdings that are Oversold. It’s what index funds do except the triggers here for rebalancing are driven by market structure rather than weightings. Statistically, some portion won’t hew to the math, but the great majority will, and disciplined data-application will keep your portfolio weighted toward holdings mathematically likely to outperform the market. Think about it this way. Returns in the stock market are the NET of up days minus down days. YTD 2022 at the end of March, SPY is down 35%, tallying the down days, and up 28%, adding up the positive days. We want to avoid the one and keep the other, and EDGE is aimed at improving that probability.
How are Market Structure Analytics different from technical analysis?›
Technical analysis turns on price and volume, which are not metrics but consequences of underlying behaviors. We measure underlying behaviors discretely in context of the rules that govern how trades execute today. All prices are not equal and neither is all volume. The behaviors driving volume have different purposes and time-horizons, and by separating them and measuring how they set prices, we can statistically predict when these behaviors will wax and wane, affecting price-performance. And thus, EDGE shifts the focus to Demand and Supply, and away from Price.
If everyone in the market began using Market Structure Analytics, wouldn’t that undermine data reliability?›
Regulation National Market System has been in place since 2007 and forcing conformity on prices and behaviors, and Market Structure Edge(TM) is the first quantitative market-structure application for portfolio-shaping. We have plenty of time.
Will corporate news or events like earnings alter outcomes, so Overbought stocks will continue to rise rather than fall?›
Of course that can happen! But the rules still apply. But the risk of declines is always greater in stocks that are 10/10 Overbought and more than 50% short before results. No matter what the companies report. The lesson really is that earnings, like options-expirations, can distort outcomes, so be wary trading during them.
Won’t transaction costs and taxes from constant shaping erode results?›
Factor for them and do the math, but beating the benchmark by shifting resources toward stocks with high probability of outperforming the market due only to market-structure factors is a better strategy than reducing trading costs but underperforming the benchmark.
How do factors like fundamentals, relative strength, beta and so on apply to Market Structure Analytics?›
Market Structure Sentiment(TM), our Demand algorithm, reflects the behaviors, motivations, and time-horizons of ALL THE MONEY in its discrete proportions behind price and volume. But fundamentals don’t set prices. Machines do. It’s better to know how machines set prices and factor that into your decision-making than to hope fundamentals will manifest in the way machines set prices.
Why not just find the best businesses in the market and buy those stocks?›
All Active investors are trying to do that, yet data consistently show 75-95% of them, depending on timeframe and market-cap, underperform the broad measures. Billionaire Ron Baron of Baron Capital said in a 2017 CNBC interview that he has owned 2,500 stocks since founding his asset-management firm, and if one removes 15, he would be average. That means 99% of his stocks were average. Trying to find the 1% that will win is a far riskier strategy than incorporating market rules that demonstrably produce statistical outperformance a majority of the time.
Myrtle Beach, SC
I also wanted to let you know that I am loving the software up to this point. I have taken about fifteen trades so far as I’m still learning how to use it. All trades have been winners!
I have only been trading a short time but always struggled because I chased headlines and trends. Now, since I have put together a couple simple charts using your site, I have doubled my account in the month of February (I know people claim that all the time, I was surprised to see it happen myself) with a very little stress. I just use a simple strategy buying calls or puts, getting out usually within a day or two instead of trying to hit a home run. It really is all about following the math and taking profits! I don’t know of any other source that cuts through all the BS surrounding the market so well to explain what is really going on.
“Market structure and its demand/supply data has been an invaluable tool to understanding the way the market actually works as opposed to how people think it works. I never initiate a short-term trade without first checking this data.”
Former CEO, Friedman, Billings & Ramsey
“If you have an interest in making money on stocks, you have to follow this guy. Market Structure EDGE. This is the way.”
Palm Beach, FL
“Your software (and your morning note) really helped me to see it was time to go to the sidelines last Friday, thus avoiding any loss. For me, no loss is gain, especially in this environment.”
Fort Collins, CO
“I want to let you know I’ve been using Market Structure EDGE and it is proving to be a great asset in my arsenal of trading tools.”
“I now have 100% focus on MSE, and oftentimes read the news in amazement of how puzzled pundits are of price swings as opposed to how easy it would be if they would base their comments on sentiment and principles of how big money acts, instead of short sighted remarks. For a long time their inability to see the big picture confused me. Not anymore.”
“Your daily emails and Monday guest spots on Benzinga Pre-Market Prep have become my most important trading resource. I’ve canceled other inferior subscriptions and learned that technical analysis no longer has the power it once seemed to. Your emails alone are worth the price of the subscription. Thank you. I am grateful you started this company!”
“I’m testing out your system, which recently called $TAP perfectly. I was in this stock for some time, and I exited using that signal so I saved myself. This turned into a 10 and it had topped in terms of sentiment, so time to exit. Take a look at the perfect call your system made. Great work. And thank you for your Monday morning briefings on Benzinga – we are learning things we have never learned before so it’s important!”
Los Angeles, CA
“I’m a new trader as of a year ago and EDGE has been a product I’ve been needing. I just wanted to drop you a line and say thank you for the frequent emails. Your take has become an invaluable part of my education and market orientation. I now look forward to your emails more than Cathie Wood’s!”